New York Yankees v Tampa Bay Rays prediction and odds
Our numbers for New York Yankees v Tampa Bay Rays (MLB): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.
Our reading
Neither side stands out: New York Yankees get 53% and Tampa Bay Rays 47%, so small details like line-ups can tip it. Our model sees the over 7.5 landing 51% of the time.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 1.75 | 53% | |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 2.00 | 47% |
Total (6.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 1.50 | 62% | |
| Under 6.5 | 2.47 | 38% |
Total (7.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | 1.83 | 51% | |
| Under 7.5 | 1.91 | 49% |
Total (8.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | 2.19 | 43% | |
| Under 8.5 | 1.63 | 57% |
Recent form
New York Yankees
- L2026-10-03 · Tampa Bay Rays · 0-1
- W2026-10-01 · Boston Red Sox · 9-2
- W2026-09-30 · Boston Red Sox · 9-0
- W2026-09-25 · Baltimore Orioles · 6-3
- L2026-09-25 · Baltimore Orioles · 2-10
Tampa Bay Rays
- W2026-10-03 · New York Yankees · 1-0
- L2026-09-27 · Philadelphia Phillies · 3-7
- W2026-09-26 · Philadelphia Phillies · 12-1
- W2026-09-25 · Philadelphia Phillies · 2-0
- L2026-09-24 · New York Yankees · 4-6
Recent form: 3 wins from 5 for New York Yankees. Tampa Bay Rays won 3 of their last 5.
Head to head
The recent record between them reads New York Yankees 3 – Tampa Bay Rays 2 across 5 matches.
- 2026-10-03 · Tampa Bay Rays 1-0 New York Yankees
- 2026-09-24 · New York Yankees 6-4 Tampa Bay Rays
- 2026-09-23 · New York Yankees 9-2 Tampa Bay Rays
- 2026-09-22 · New York Yankees 1-6 Tampa Bay Rays
- 2026-09-22 · New York Yankees 2-0 Tampa Bay Rays
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.