New York Yankees v Tampa Bay Rays prediction and odds
Next up in the MLB: New York Yankees against Tampa Bay Rays. Below you'll find the win chances our ratings give each side.
CompetitionMLB
Start time
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 08:07 UTC
Our reading
Very little separates the two: New York Yankees 53%, Tampa Bay Rays 47%. Goals or points: the 7.5 line, with a 51% chance of going over on our numbers.
The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 1.76 | 53% | |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 2.00 | 47% |
Total (6.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 1.51 | 62% | |
| Under 6.5 | 2.46 | 38% |
Total (7.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | 1.83 | 51% | |
| Under 7.5 | 1.91 | 49% |
Total (8.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | 2.19 | 43% | |
| Under 8.5 | 1.63 | 57% |
Recent form
New York Yankees
- L2026-10-03 · Tampa Bay Rays · 0-1
- W2026-10-01 · Boston Red Sox · 9-2
- W2026-09-30 · Boston Red Sox · 9-0
- W2026-09-25 · Baltimore Orioles · 6-3
- L2026-09-25 · Baltimore Orioles · 2-10
Tampa Bay Rays
- W2026-10-03 · New York Yankees · 1-0
- L2026-09-27 · Philadelphia Phillies · 3-7
- W2026-09-26 · Philadelphia Phillies · 12-1
- W2026-09-25 · Philadelphia Phillies · 2-0
- L2026-09-24 · New York Yankees · 4-6
Recent form: 3 wins from 5 for New York Yankees. Tampa Bay Rays won 3 of their last 5.
Head to head
Head to head over 5 games: New York Yankees 3, Tampa Bay Rays 2.
- 2026-10-03 · Tampa Bay Rays 1-0 New York Yankees
- 2026-09-24 · New York Yankees 6-4 Tampa Bay Rays
- 2026-09-23 · New York Yankees 9-2 Tampa Bay Rays
- 2026-09-22 · New York Yankees 1-6 Tampa Bay Rays
- 2026-09-22 · New York Yankees 2-0 Tampa Bay Rays
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.
Also on this site
BaseballBaseball betting explained: MLB moneyline, run line ±1.5 and run totals, priced by our in-house runs model with a negative binomial distribution.MLBMLB betting guide: moneyline, run line -1.5, totals, starting pitchers, ballparks and the 162-game grind, plus how our negative binomial runs model works.PredictionsFree match predictions built from our in-house odds: win probabilities, recent form and head-to-head for upcoming football, NBA, tennis and esports games.How we price oddsHow Nocturn Sport calculates its odds in-house: Elo ratings, Poisson and Dixon-Coles goals models, normal distributions, proportional margin and calibration tests.