New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders prediction and odds
New England Patriots take on Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL, and here is how our model sees it.
Our reading
At 73%, New England Patriots carry a heavy edge on paper, and Las Vegas Raiders need an off day from them to get anything. On the total, the main line is 42.5 and we rate the over at 51%.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 1.28 | 73% | |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3.50 | 27% |
Handicap (-7.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots -7.5 | 1.85 | 51% | |
| Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 | 1.89 | 49% |
Total (42.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42.5 | 1.84 | 51% | |
| Under 42.5 | 1.90 | 49% |
Recent form
New England Patriots
- W2026-10-04 · Buffalo Bills · 29-26
- L2026-09-27 · Jacksonville Jaguars · 6-35
- W2026-09-20 · Pittsburgh Steelers · 20-3
- L2026-09-10 · Seattle Seahawks · 10-13
- L2026-02-08 · Seattle Seahawks · 13-29
Las Vegas Raiders
- L2026-10-04 · Kansas City Chiefs · 27-30
- W2026-09-27 · New Orleans Saints · 35-27
- W2026-09-20 · Los Angeles Chargers · 26-14
- W2026-09-13 · Miami Dolphins · 27-13
- W2026-01-04 · Kansas City Chiefs · 14-12
Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for New England Patriots. Las Vegas Raiders come in with 4 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
Head to head over 1 games: New England Patriots 0, Las Vegas Raiders 1.
- 2025-09-07 · New England Patriots 13-20 Las Vegas Raiders
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.