NOCTURN SPORT

Hugo Gaston v Liam Draxl prediction and odds

Hugo Gaston take on Liam Draxl in the Rolex Shanghai Masters, and here is how our model sees it.

CompetitionRolex Shanghai Masters
Start time
FormatBo3
Odds updatedSun 4 Oct, 22:07 UTC

Our reading

Very little separates the two: Hugo Gaston 52%, Liam Draxl 48%. It is a best of 3: the stronger side gets more chances to recover from a bad game, so favourites win series more often than single games.

We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Winner

OddsProbability
Hugo Gaston1.7152%
Liam Draxl1.8748%

Recent form

Hugo Gaston

  • L2026-09-27 · Andrey Rublev · 1-2
  • W2026-09-25 · Jaime Faria · 2-1
  • W2026-09-24 · Sho Shimabukuro · 2-0
  • L2026-08-30 · Daniil Medvedev · 0-3
  • L2026-08-12 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · 1-2

Liam Draxl

  • L2026-08-04 · Daniel Merida · 1-2
  • L2026-03-31 · Nishesh Basavareddy · 1-2
  • W2026-03-29 · Alexis Galarneau · 2-1
  • W2026-03-28 · Mitchell Krueger · 2-1
  • L2026-03-19 · Quentin Halys · 1-2

Hugo Gaston won 2 of their last 5. Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for Liam Draxl.

Head to head

This is a fresh pairing: we have no recent head-to-head between Hugo Gaston and Liam Draxl.

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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