Roman Safiullin v Shintaro Mochizuki prediction and odds
Our numbers for Roman Safiullin v Shintaro Mochizuki (Rolex Shanghai Masters): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.
Our reading
Roman Safiullin go in as favourites at 65%, but Shintaro Mochizuki are far from out of it. It is a best of 3: the stronger side gets more chances to recover from a bad game, so favourites win series more often than single games.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Safiullin | 1.38 | 65% | |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | 2.54 | 35% |
Recent form
Roman Safiullin
- W2026-10-05 · Alexis Galarneau · 2-0
- L2026-10-03 · Andrey Rublev · 1-2
- W2026-10-01 · Flavio Cobolli · 2-0
- L2026-09-28 · Daniil Medvedev · 0-2
- W2026-09-27 · Bu Yunchaokete · 2-0
Shintaro Mochizuki
- W2026-10-05 · Taro Daniel · 2-1
- L2026-09-28 · Jaime Faria · 0-2
- L2026-09-24 · Martin Damm · 0-2
- W2026-09-23 · Pavel Kotov · 2-0
- W2026-09-22 · Xiao Linang · 2-1
Roman Safiullin won 3 of their last 5. Shintaro Mochizuki come in with 3 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
No recent meeting between Roman Safiullin and Shintaro Mochizuki in our records.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.