NOCTURN SPORT

Arthur Fery v Marin Cilic prediction and odds

Next up in the Rolex Shanghai Masters: Arthur Fery against Marin Cilic. Below you'll find the win chances our ratings give each side.

CompetitionRolex Shanghai Masters
Start time
FormatBo3
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 11:07 UTC

Our reading

Arthur Fery go in as favourites at 58%, but Marin Cilic are far from out of it. Played as a best of 3, which stretches the edge of the better player or team; map and set handicaps (±1.5) and total maps become interesting. On the total, the main line is 2.5 and we rate the over at 49%.

The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Winner

OddsProbability
Arthur Fery1.6058%
Marin Cilic2.2542%

Handicap (-1.5)

OddsProbability
Arthur Fery -1.53.0131%
Marin Cilic +1.51.3569%

Handicap (+1.5)

OddsProbability
Arthur Fery +1.51.1680%
Marin Cilic -1.54.7620%

Total (2.5)

OddsProbability
Over 2.51.8949%
Under 2.51.8551%

Correct score

OddsProbability
2-03.0131%
2-13.4027%
1-24.2722%
0-24.7620%

Recent form

Arthur Fery

  • L2026-10-01 · Jaime Faria · 1-2
  • L2026-09-01 · Lorenzo Musetti · 0-3
  • L2026-08-29 · Ignacio Buse · 0-2
  • W2026-08-28 · Aleksandar Kovacevic · 2-1
  • W2026-08-26 · Mees Rottgering · 2-0

Marin Cilic

  • L2026-08-14 · Daniel Merida · 1-2
  • L2026-08-04 · Frances Tiafoe · 1-2
  • W2026-08-04 · Sho Shimabukuro · 2-0
  • L2026-06-29 · Daniil Medvedev · 0-3
  • L2026-06-16 · Ugo Humbert · 0-2

Arthur Fery won 2 of their last 5. Marin Cilic come in with 1 victories in their last 5 outings.

Head to head

Arthur Fery and Marin Cilic haven't met recently, so there is no head-to-head to lean on.

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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