Aleksandar Kovacevic v Matteo Berrettini prediction and odds
Next up in the Rolex Shanghai Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic against Matteo Berrettini. Below you'll find the win chances our ratings give each side.
Our reading
Our model makes Matteo Berrettini the more likely winners (65%) without making this a one-sided contest against Aleksandar Kovacevic. Format: best of 3. Longer series reduce the upset rate, which is why the series price is shorter than the single-game price for the favourite. Goals or points: the 2.5 line, with a 48% chance of going over on our numbers.
The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2.71 | 35% | |
| Matteo Berrettini | 1.43 | 65% |
Handicap (-1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic -1.5 | 5.99 | 16% | |
| Matteo Berrettini +1.5 | 1.11 | 84% |
Handicap (+1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic +1.5 | 1.47 | 63% | |
| Matteo Berrettini -1.5 | 2.55 | 37% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.96 | 48% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.79 | 52% |
Correct score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | 2.55 | 37% | |
| 1-2 | 3.23 | 29% | |
| 2-1 | 4.95 | 19% | |
| 2-0 | 5.99 | 16% |
Recent form
Aleksandar Kovacevic
- L2026-09-29 · Jaume Munar · 0-2
- W2026-09-28 · Zachary Svajda · 2-1
- L2026-09-24 · Lloyd Harris · 0-2
- L2026-08-31 · Valentin Vacherot · 0-3
- L2026-08-28 · Arthur Fery · 1-2
Matteo Berrettini
- L2026-10-03 · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 0-2
- W2026-10-01 · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2-1
- L2026-09-02 · Mariano Navone · 1-3
- W2026-08-31 · Stan Wawrinka · 3-0
- L2026-08-15 · Jiri Lehecka · 1-2
Recent form: 1 wins from 5 for Aleksandar Kovacevic. Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for Matteo Berrettini.
Head to head
Aleksandar Kovacevic and Matteo Berrettini haven't met recently, so there is no head-to-head to lean on.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.