Zhang Zhizhen v Tomas Machac prediction and odds
Our numbers for Zhang Zhizhen v Tomas Machac (Rolex Shanghai Masters): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.
Our reading
At 71%, Tomas Machac carry a heavy edge on paper, and Zhang Zhizhen need an off day from them to get anything. It is a best of 3: the stronger side gets more chances to recover from a bad game, so favourites win series more often than single games. Our model sees the over 2.5 landing 46% of the time.
We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Zhizhen | 3.21 | 29% | |
| Tomas Machac | 1.32 | 71% |
Handicap (-1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Zhizhen -1.5 | 7.34 | 13% | |
| Tomas Machac +1.5 | 1.07 | 87% |
Handicap (+1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Zhizhen +1.5 | 1.59 | 59% | |
| Tomas Machac -1.5 | 2.26 | 41% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.04 | 46% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.73 | 54% |
Correct score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | 2.26 | 41% | |
| 1-2 | 3.17 | 30% | |
| 2-1 | 5.71 | 16% | |
| 2-0 | 7.34 | 13% |
Recent form
Zhang Zhizhen
- L2026-09-30 · Arthur Gea · 0-2
- L2026-09-24 · Chak Lam Coleman Wong · 0-2
- L2026-06-12 · Adrian Mannarino · 0-2
- W2026-06-11 · Tallon Griekspoor · 2-0
- W2026-06-09 · Jenson Brooksby · 2-1
Tomas Machac
- L2026-10-01 · Alex Molcan · 0-2
- L2026-09-29 · Arthur Gea · 0-2
- W2026-09-28 · Yannick Hanfmann · 2-1
- L2026-08-30 · Toby Samuel · 0-3
- L2026-08-25 · Mees Rottgering · 0-2
Zhang Zhizhen won 2 of their last 5. Recent form: 1 wins from 5 for Tomas Machac.
Head to head
Zhang Zhizhen and Tomas Machac haven't met recently, so there is no head-to-head to lean on.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.