AS Monaco v Toulouse prediction and odds
Next up in the Ligue 1: AS Monaco against Toulouse. Below you'll find the win chances our ratings give each side.
Our reading
There is a clear lean to AS Monaco at 54%; Toulouse still win this often enough to keep it interesting. The draw comes out at 24%, which is worth keeping in mind before backing either side outright. On the total, the main line is 3.5 and we rate the over at 39%.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Match result (1X2)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Monaco | 1.72 | 54% | |
| Draw | 3.94 | 24% | |
| Toulouse | 4.26 | 22% |
Total (1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.12 | 84% | |
| Under 1.5 | 5.72 | 16% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.52 | 62% | |
| Under 2.5 | 2.44 | 38% |
Total (3.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 2.37 | 39% | |
| Under 3.5 | 1.54 | 61% |
Both teams to score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.52 | 61% | |
| No | 2.42 | 39% |
Handicap (-0.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Monaco -0.5 | 1.72 | 54% | |
| Toulouse +0.5 | 2.05 | 46% |
Recent form
AS Monaco
- W2026-09-18 · Lens · 2-1
- D2026-09-12 · Strasbourg · 1-1
- W2026-09-04 · Paris Saint-Germain · 2-1
- W2026-08-30 · Marseille · 2-0
- W2026-08-23 · Le Havre AC · 1-0
Toulouse
- W2026-09-19 · Le Havre AC · 3-2
- D2026-09-12 · Lorient · 2-2
- L2026-09-03 · Lille · 0-1
- D2026-08-29 · Brest · 2-2
- L2026-08-22 · Lyon · 0-2
AS Monaco come in with 4 victories in their last 5 outings. Toulouse come in with 1 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
The recent record between them reads AS Monaco 1 – Toulouse 0 across 2 matches.
- 2026-04-25 · Toulouse 2-2 AS Monaco
- 2025-10-25 · AS Monaco 1-0 Toulouse
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.