NOCTURN SPORT

Lecce v Bologna prediction and odds

Our numbers for Lecce v Bologna (Serie A): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.

CompetitionSerie A
Start time
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 07:07 UTC

Our reading

This one is close to a coin flip on our numbers — 33% for Lecce against 37% for Bologna. Our model puts a stalemate at 31%; draw no bet or double chance can cover that scenario. On the total, the main line is 2.5 and we rate the over at 41%.

These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Match result (1X2)

OddsProbability
Lecce2.8633%
Draw3.0431%
Bologna2.5637%

Total (1.5)

OddsProbability
Over 1.51.3669%
Under 1.53.0131%

Total (2.5)

OddsProbability
Over 2.52.2741%
Under 2.51.5959%

Total (3.5)

OddsProbability
Over 3.54.5221%
Under 3.51.1879%

Both teams to score

OddsProbability
Yes1.9249%
No1.8251%

Handicap (0)

OddsProbability
Lecce 0.01.9847%
Bologna -0.01.7753%

Recent form

Lecce

  • L2026-09-20 · AC Milan · 0-3
  • W2026-09-13 · Monza · 3-2
  • L2026-09-07 · Cagliari · 0-1
  • L2026-08-31 · AS Roma · 0-4
  • W2026-08-23 · Venezia · 2-0

Bologna

  • D2026-09-19 · Torino · 1-1
  • L2026-09-13 · Napoli · 0-1
  • D2026-09-06 · Sassuolo · 2-2
  • L2026-08-31 · Atalanta · 0-1
  • L2026-08-24 · Lazio · 0-1

Lecce come in with 2 victories in their last 5 outings. Bologna come in with 0 victories in their last 5 outings.

Head to head

The recent record between them reads Lecce 0 – Bologna 1 across 2 matches.

  • 2026-04-12 · Bologna 2-0 Lecce
  • 2025-09-28 · Lecce 2-2 Bologna

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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