NOCTURN SPORT

Genoa v Fiorentina prediction and odds

Genoa take on Fiorentina in the Serie A, and here is how our model sees it.

CompetitionSerie A
Start time
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 05:07 UTC

Our reading

This one is close to a coin flip on our numbers — 38% for Genoa against 33% for Fiorentina. A level score is a real possibility here: 29% on our figures. On the total, the main line is 2.5 and we rate the over at 48%.

We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Match result (1X2)

OddsProbability
Genoa2.4838%
Draw3.2329%
Fiorentina2.8033%

Total (1.5)

OddsProbability
Over 1.51.2674%
Under 1.53.6526%

Total (2.5)

OddsProbability
Over 2.51.9548%
Under 2.51.8052%

Total (3.5)

OddsProbability
Over 3.53.5626%
Under 3.51.2774%

Both teams to score

OddsProbability
Yes1.7354%
No2.0346%

Handicap (0)

OddsProbability
Genoa 0.01.7653%
Fiorentina -0.01.9947%

Recent form

Genoa

  • L2026-09-20 · Parma · 1-2
  • D2026-09-12 · Frosinone · 1-1
  • L2026-09-04 · Como · 1-4
  • L2026-08-30 · Lazio · 0-1
  • L2026-08-22 · Napoli · 0-2

Fiorentina

  • D2026-09-20 · Napoli · 1-1
  • W2026-09-11 · Venezia · 4-2
  • L2026-09-05 · Torino · 1-2
  • L2026-08-29 · Frosinone · 0-3
  • L2026-08-24 · AS Roma · 0-4

Genoa won 0 of their last 5. Fiorentina won 1 of their last 5.

Head to head

Head to head over 2 games: Genoa 0, Fiorentina 0.

  • 2026-05-10 · Fiorentina 0-0 Genoa
  • 2025-11-09 · Genoa 2-2 Fiorentina

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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