TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburg SV prediction and odds
Our numbers for TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburg SV (Bundesliga): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.
Our reading
There is a clear lean to TSG Hoffenheim at 58%; Hamburg SV still win this often enough to keep it interesting. Our model puts a stalemate at 21%; draw no bet or double chance can cover that scenario. Goals or points: the 3.5 line, with a 48% chance of going over on our numbers.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Match result (1X2)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim | 1.61 | 58% | |
| Draw | 4.36 | 21% | |
| Hamburg SV | 4.53 | 21% |
Total (1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.06 | 88% | |
| Under 1.5 | 7.81 | 12% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.35 | 69% | |
| Under 2.5 | 3.05 | 31% |
Total (3.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.95 | 48% | |
| Under 3.5 | 1.80 | 52% |
Both teams to score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.41 | 66% | |
| No | 2.78 | 34% |
Handicap (-1)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim -1.0 | 2.00 | 47% | |
| Hamburg SV +1.0 | 1.76 | 53% |
Recent form
TSG Hoffenheim
- L2026-09-20 · SC Paderborn 07 · 1-3
- L2026-09-17 · OFI Crete · 0-2
- W2026-09-12 · VfB Stuttgart · 2-1
- L2026-09-05 · Borussia Dortmund · 2-3
- L2026-08-29 · FC Cologne · 2-3
Hamburg SV
- W2026-09-19 · FC Cologne · 2-1
- L2026-09-13 · RB Leipzig · 0-5
- L2026-09-06 · Mainz · 0-5
- L2026-08-29 · Borussia Dortmund · 0-2
- D2026-05-16 · Bayer Leverkusen · 1-1
Recent form: 1 wins from 5 for TSG Hoffenheim. Recent form: 1 wins from 5 for Hamburg SV.
Head to head
The recent record between them reads TSG Hoffenheim 2 – Hamburg SV 0 across 2 matches.
- 2026-04-25 · Hamburg SV 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim
- 2025-12-13 · TSG Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburg SV
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.