NOCTURN SPORT

Liverpool v Manchester City prediction and odds

Next up in the Premier League: Liverpool against Manchester City. Below you'll find the win chances our ratings give each side.

CompetitionPremier League
Start time
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 06:07 UTC

Our reading

Manchester City go in as favourites at 51%, but Liverpool are far from out of it. Our model puts a stalemate at 26%; draw no bet or double chance can cover that scenario. Our model sees the over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.

The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Match result (1X2)

OddsProbability
Liverpool3.9524%
Draw3.6626%
Manchester City1.8451%

Total (1.5)

OddsProbability
Over 1.51.1780%
Under 1.54.6820%

Total (2.5)

OddsProbability
Over 2.51.6756%
Under 2.52.1244%

Total (3.5)

OddsProbability
Over 3.52.7834%
Under 3.51.4166%

Both teams to score

OddsProbability
Yes1.6158%
No2.2242%

Handicap (+0.5)

OddsProbability
Liverpool +0.51.9049%
Manchester City -0.51.8451%

Recent form

Liverpool

  • W2026-09-20 · AFC Bournemouth · 1-0
  • W2026-09-15 · Tottenham Hotspur · 3-1
  • D2026-09-12 · Fulham · 0-0
  • W2026-09-09 · Atlético Madrid · 2-1
  • W2026-09-04 · Ipswich Town · 2-0

Manchester City

  • W2026-09-20 · Sunderland · 5-3
  • W2026-09-17 · Norwich City · 5-0
  • W2026-09-13 · Manchester United · 1-0
  • W2026-09-08 · FC Porto · 2-0
  • W2026-09-05 · Coventry City · 1-0

Liverpool won 4 of their last 5. Recent form: 5 wins from 5 for Manchester City.

Head to head

Head to head over 3 games: Liverpool 0, Manchester City 3.

  • 2026-04-04 · Manchester City 4-0 Liverpool
  • 2026-02-08 · Liverpool 1-2 Manchester City
  • 2025-11-09 · Manchester City 3-0 Liverpool

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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