Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth prediction and odds
Our numbers for Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth (Premier League): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.
Our reading
Very little separates the two: Chelsea 40%, AFC Bournemouth 36%. The draw comes out at 24%, which is worth keeping in mind before backing either side outright. Our model sees the over 3.5 landing 46% of the time.
We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Match result (1X2)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2.36 | 40% | |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24% | |
| AFC Bournemouth | 2.59 | 36% |
Total (1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.07 | 87% | |
| Under 1.5 | 7.26 | 13% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.38 | 68% | |
| Under 2.5 | 2.88 | 32% |
Total (3.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 2.04 | 46% | |
| Under 3.5 | 1.73 | 54% |
Both teams to score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.36 | 69% | |
| No | 3.00 | 31% |
Handicap (0)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea 0.0 | 1.79 | 52% | |
| AFC Bournemouth -0.0 | 1.96 | 48% |
Recent form
Chelsea
- L2026-09-18 · Brentford · 0-3
- D2026-09-12 · Hull City · 2-2
- W2026-09-09 · Leeds United · 6-3
- L2026-09-06 · Arsenal · 1-2
- W2026-08-30 · Brighton & Hove Albion · 4-3
AFC Bournemouth
- L2026-09-20 · Liverpool · 0-1
- W2026-09-17 · Real Sociedad · 2-1
- D2026-09-12 · Brentford · 2-2
- W2026-09-08 · Lincoln City · 4-0
- D2026-09-05 · Newcastle United · 2-2
Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for Chelsea. AFC Bournemouth come in with 2 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings, Chelsea won 0 and AFC Bournemouth won 0.
- 2025-12-30 · Chelsea 2-2 AFC Bournemouth
- 2025-12-06 · AFC Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.